Friday preview: Euro area GDP, NatWest Group in focus

by | Oct 28, 2021

Investors’ focus at the end of the week will be on a preliminary reading for gross domestic product in the euro area during the third quarter.

Consensus is for economic growth to have expanded at a quarter-on-quarter pace of 2.1%, the same as over the preceding three months.

Also due out in the euro area is a first look at consumer prices in the single currency bloc in the month of October.

On home shores, at 0930 BST the Bank of England will publish consumer credit and mortgage lending figures for September.

Also on the economic agenda for Friday are a meeting of China’s Politburo and an interest rate decision out of the central bank of Thailand.

For NatWest Group’s third quarter, UBS analyst Jason Napier says they key will be what the lender will be what it has to say about the future path for net interest income and as regards capital generation and deployment.

Citing Natwest’s own disclosures, Napier pointed out that it was the most geared lender to the recent improvement in yield curve conditions, what with markets already discounting 115 basis points in UK hikes over the coming year, against just 20bp as at the end of June.

“Key within results will be assessing how those benefits are reinforced by a potentially larger rate hedge and offset by the significant decline in flow mortgage spreads.”

In the background, financial markets will also be reacting to the latest quarterly numbers due out overnight from Apple and Amazon.

Friday 29 October

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE

Barr (A.G.), Belvoir Group, Christie Group, Essentra, Fidelity European Trust, Hunting, I3 Energy , Ingenta, JTC, Keywords Studios, Learning Technologies Group , Mortgage Advice Bureau (Holdings) , Phoenix Spree Deutschland Limited Shs NPV , Rightmove, Shanta Gold Ltd., Unite Group, Vitec Group, Wynnstay Group, Xpediator

INTERIM EX-DIVIDEND DATE

Banco Santander S.A.

QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE

BMO Commercial Property Trust Limited, BMO Private Equity Trust, Marble Point Loan Financing Limited NPV, Middlefield Canadian Income PCC, Real Estate Investors, Standard Life Private Equity Trust, Value and Indexed Property Income Trust

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS

Chicago PMI (US) (14:45)

GDP (Preliminary) (EU) (11:00)

GDP (Preliminary) (GER) (07:00)

Personal Consumption Expenditures (US) (13:30)

Personal Income (US) (13:30)

Personal Spending (US) (13:30)

U. of Michigan Confidence (US) (15:00)

Q3

NATWEST GROUP PLC ORD 100P, OMV Petrom S.A. GDR (REG S)

FINALS

Grit Real Estate Income Group Limited NPV, Scancell Holdings, Time Out Group

SPECIAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE

Barr (A.G.), Hargreave Hale AIM VCT , Kings Arms Yard VCT

AGMS

ADM Energy , ITM Power, Mattioli Woods, Maxcyte (DI), OPG Power Ventures, Sensyne Health

UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS

Consumer Credit (09:30)

M4 Money Supply (09:30)

Mortgage Approvals (09:30)

FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE

Alumasc Group, City of London Investment Group, FRP Advisory Group , Gabelli Merger Plus+ Trust, Hargreaves Services, Standard Life UK Smaller Companies Trust

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