Insurance company Admiral said it expected higher-than-expected first-half profits due to an “unusually positive” development in the cost of UK motor injury claims.
The firm on Monday guided for pre-tax profit of £450m – £500m and a dividend of 110 – 125p a share.
“The stronger result is due to unusually positive development in the cost of UK motor bodily injury claims from a number of prior underwriting years which has led to higher reserve releases and profit commission revenue,” Admiral said in a statement.
Lower than expected motor claims frequency in 2021 to date due to extended lockdown restrictions also resulted in a favourable current period loss ratio, despite significant reductions in premium rates over the past year after £110m in premiums refunded to customers in May 2020.
“It is not currently expected that the level of reserve releases and profit commission for the first half of 2021 will be repeated in the second half,” Admiral added.
