Rate hike imminent on strong employment data – Aegon AM’s Lynch

James Lynch, fixed income investment manager at Aegon Asset Management, said:

โ€œThis is another strongย set ofย employment data out of the UK this morning. The unemployment rate fell more than expected to 4.1% andย the UK has set anotherย recordย forย job vacancies.

โ€œTheย labour market is key forย the Bank of Englandโ€™sย medium-term outlookย onย inflation. Ifย the signs are there for wage rises in the future,ย then inflation is going to beย longer lasting thanย what is currently being driven by spikingย energy prices.

โ€œWithย inflationย still to rise further over the next three monthsย andย Covid-19 restrictions being easedย –ย which will help economic activityย –ย plus a tight labour market,ย we expect the Bank of England to raise interest rates to 0.50%ย in its next MPC meeting onย 3rd February.โ€

 

 

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