German investor sentiment deteriorates slightly in June

German investor sentiment deteriorated slightly in August, according to a survey released on Tuesday by the ZEW Center for European Economic Research in Mannheim.
The headline ZEW investor expectations index fell to -55.3 from -53.8 in July, hitting its worst level since October 2008.

Meanwhile, the current situation index declined to -47.6 in August from -45.8 the month before.

Dr. Michael Schrรถder, researcher at ZEW and head of the ZEW financial market survey, said: “The ZEW economic expectations decreased again slightly in August after a sharp drop in the previous month. The financial market experts therefore expect a further decline in the already weak economic growth in Germany.

“The still high inflation rates and the expected additional costs for heating and energy lead to a decrease in profit expectations for the private consumption sector. In contrast, the expectations for the financial sector are improving due to the supposed further increase in short-term interest rates.”

Andrew Kenningham, chief Europe economist at Capital Economics, said: “The ZEW survey fell again in August and is at a level consistent with the economy contracting. We now think a recession is unavoidable in the second half of this year as the impact of high energy prices on both households and industry takes effect.”

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